Sunday, January 24, 2010

Drawing internal buy in for improved Risk management

After my latest posts about risk management (identity management basics and getting the best out of your data) I was asked a great question I think about every day: it's great to have a methodology and a strategy, but how do you get other people in the organization (whether inside or outside of the risk management group) to agree and work with you?

Well, trying to both shape and implement a new terminology is as hard as any other change management, and is very similar to any type of internal marketing: the right catch phrases, proper branding and the right timing and location will do wonders. None of those will work if what you're "selling" is a bad product - an inconsistent, over-complicated or over-simplified method that people cannot use will never be as easy to implement as will a coherent system that makes sense and can be fairly easily comprehended - and used.

Nevertheless, even given a good system this is no mere feat. What are the keys to success? In my experience, there are three:
  1. Ownership: what this means is that you take responsibility over the area you are looking to improve. Too many times I have seen a person or a team trying to change a process or a notion while assuming the consultant position; in most cases, they will fail, because the key for making a change is rolling up your sleeves and making something happen. "If you build it, they will come", and "They" here are the aggressive achievers in your organization, the ones that recognize something that works and are not afraid to try and learn it. Stop saying "I told you so" and start doing!
  2. Transparency: no siloed organization make a change outside of its own boundaries. Only inclusion of other teams, clear communication and eternal repetition of your messages, coupled with deliverables, can make any type of substantial difference. Don't take the traditional risk management approach - don't scare people with the horrors that might happen if they invest in a project; instead, say: "this is what might happen, this is why, and this is how I intend to solve it. Want to help?".
  3. Gradual Enablement: think of new ways to say "yes". If your system is truly innovative it will allow you to take risks others can't because you can understand and manage them better. Still - don't rush into it, because small successes are key for maintaining momentum; use pilots and rapid prototyping to prove that something can be done, and expand responsibly. This way you can prove you can stop more fraud while not hurting users - and get the charter to expand.
Is this the magic bullet? No, but these keys will put you on the road to success, because they earn you the trust of partners while delivering the results you need to fuel your system. And, if we all adopt this point of view, risk will start being a driver of innovation of payment companies - definitely a time I would love to see coming.

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

No more secrets: managing risk when access control breaks

This post is a first in a series I will be exchanging with Allison Miller, one of my esteemed colleagues in Paypal's Risk organization, in her reinstated blog.

“Man may be defined as the animal that can say "I," that can be aware of himself as a separate entity”. (Erich Fromm)


“Identity” is a widely debated term, in various areas; Philosophy, psychology and social sciences discuss various aspects of the individual’s and a society’s identity and its representation in media, art and academic thought – from the Buddhist extremity of no-self to the capitalist self-definition based on what you buy, the variety of ancient and modern thought around definitions and applications of identity is vast. Loyal to the spirit of individualism in the Western world, the development of the New Age movement over the last decade led to the calling to each of us to find our own “true identity” through introspection; supported by modern psychology, the journey of identity constantly drives for defining, consolidating and presenting our personalities through titles that illuminate various aspects of our day to day behavior as part of a healthy, consistent and coherent identity that is who we are.

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

A call for resumes (in the bay area)

Over the past months I’ve been telling you about my take on risk management, automated decisions, digital goods and various other areas. I am now starting to look for candidates for my team to deal with these exact areas within Paypal – so if you’re one or think you know one, please let me know. This is not a formal job description, just a call for resumes so that I know you’re out there once I can hire you.

What I’m looking for is results driven, quick thinking do-it-alls who want to be involved with new products, markets and risk challenges within Paypal. You should have the passion for consuming a lot of data and information, be able to learn quickly and identify and define trends in concise terms. You should be analytical but not a data cruncher without any understanding of the big picture – we are playing at all fronts. Know or be able to learn how to drive processes through other people and organizations; working in ambiguous situations and coping with change is a must, as well as an ever changing operating rhythm. This is not your classic 9 to 5 and I’m not your classic 9 to 5 manager.

Experience is not a must (=graduates are also encouraged to apply), definitely not previous experience in risk management. However, please be an avid internet user, preferably a gamer in your past or present. Some security experience or tech savvy is a big plus – don’t get intimidated by developers, architects and tech talk. Impress me by having interesting hobbies out of work that you maintain although you are an aggressive achiever, and by having vast general knowledge (as in: you shout answers at “who wants to be a millionaire” while watching it on TV).

Read the blog. Process. Understand. Talk to me.

Email me at osamet67@gmail.com for more details and a nice chat :)

Thursday, January 7, 2010

Too much information: you may just have all the data you need

"This was not a failure to collect intelligence, it was a failure to integrate and understand the intelligence that we already had." NYTimes quoting President Obama after his meeting with national security advisers about a terror plot to bring down a commercial jetliner on Christmas Day. (Jan 6th 2010)

Going to the movies with friends from the intelligence community is never a cheerful experience. Spending two hours in a conspiracy movie with people who sometimes while seeing a (seemingly) absurdly powerful data collection device say “ah, I know this system”, will make you a firm believer in conspiracy theories or at least a more paranoid individual. But even the most tech savvy and well informed of those people talk like Pres. Obama in that quote above – it’s not lack of data, it’s our inability to process it that limits us. Maybe project ECHELON really stores all of our communication – but what super computer and what sophisticated algorithms can process and identify all of the world’s pictures, plethora of dialects in written natural languages and voice calls? You know what? If you know the answer, I’m not sure I want to know.



Sunday, December 27, 2009

A man on a plane

Following the latest news of the attempt to blow up a Delta flight, and the reintroduction of debates about terror and security worldwide, I want to share some random thoughts this incident brought about.




The weakest link

A reliable source is one that provides you data and information you can use with little to no validation; a source you can trust as part of the group of sources you use to evaluate the riskiness of a specific situation. Be it a credit report from Experian, a Whitepages entry from Whitepages.com or a customer calling in to report, you need to know the possibility of your resource being compromised and the information you receive being mistaken or, much worse, maliciously injected by fraudsters. This is the basic malfunction that drives SQL injection attacks, if you don't sanitize DB entries you're most probably in for a big bad surprise. The weakest link – in this case, it seems to be Nigerian aviation security controls – has failed the whole chain. It may be improper screening, low budget security tools or just procedures not permeating through the system, but it let someone with malicious intent onboard and only luck failed him. The fact that Netherlands security just passed the stick on and let all passengers continue shows that the hand-over between security personnel in different airports might need some additional reinforcement, because terror is constantly looking for ways to inject itself in. There should be additional focus around determining the reliability of various airports as a reliable source of validated passengers and acting accordingly.

Lists don’t work

So his name was on a list. So what? Here’s what lists do: they make legitimate people’s lives harder (ever tried boarding a plane in domestic US with an Arab name or with a Middle Eastern passport? Enjoy the ride…) but much worse than that, they transform risk measures into binary checks (on the list? Stop. Not on the list? Carry on), a classic case of “searching under the streetlight”. So he WAS on the list but not under “really bad” but only under “naughty”? Come on. I have preached against black lists in the past (Hebrew only) and this is another case where, clearly, some old fashioned flight track analysis crossed with previous alerts could have made the trick. The data was there – it’s all a matter of interpretation.

Hindsight’s 20:20

I take off my shoes in remembrance of the shoe bomber; I don’t carry liquids in remembrance of the 2006 bomb-as-a-soft-drink plot; and I get sniffed by an automated sniffer every once in a while in a random US terminal. As far as I’m concerned, I should probably stop flying soon and leave air travel to terrorists and security, in an everlasting cat and mouse game. The most important thing about attacks that materialize (even if they fail) is learning from them. If all we get is another restriction, we are missing the point here. Every false positive and false negative (in any automated or manual decision making process) needs to serve as feedback to the system to improve on – in its ability to make better decisions, not in the restrictions it applies on the general population. Hopefully, the conclusions will not end up only bringing another top-dollar cutting-edge new machine to sniff people at airports, but will aid in making flying safer and easier for legitimate travelers while shutting it down for terror.

Monday, December 14, 2009

42% of users have a good reason to fear


Working in the risk management business, I often get these layman questions about ePayment security. They are close relatives of questions IT people are being asked about hardware purchasing; when people finally find that item they wanted to find or a bargain they can’t resist, they want to make sure they don’t get scammed. Who’s better for that than your friendly neighborhood risk management specialist? I’ve given my part to eCommerce, you should know, and if retailers felt a $3000 shift in their revenues this year – this one’s on me, guys. No need for commission this time.


Seriously, though – why are thousands and maybe hundred-thousands of interactions related to purchasing on the web really important? As I mentioned in my previous post about Square’s trust issue, good payment services instill trust (among other things); and for an industry based on users exposing themselves and their financials, trust – created, in my case, by getting a recommendation from an authority – is one of the main challenges for emerging companies.

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Payments start from Square one



In the 1998 movie “half baked”, the main characters sell weed to various buyers to get their friend out of jail. Not the most sophisticated movie, if I may say so, but decently funny. While they’re selling, you hear a voice over by the main character Thurgood Jenkins (Dave Chapelle) telling about the type of people you meet. One of them is the “enhancement smoker”, the one that thinks every deed is better done “on weed”. It boils down to quotes like:  
  • Enhancement Smoker: "Did you ever see Scent of a Woman?"
  • Scarface: "Yup."
  • Enhancement Smoker: "You ever seen Scent of a Woman... on weed? That's the way to see it. It's just wacked." (yeah, I know)
Let me tell you something: people in the valley are enhancement “smokers” too. Only they’re not using weed (or they might. I’m not judging). They’re hooked on the iPhone (and the “app economy”). Hey man, did you ever play console games? Ever did that… on the iPhone? Ever acquire a payment on from a credit card? Ever done that… on the iPhone? Seriously, guys, smart phones are cool, but international market adoption is still slower than one would imagine looking at the hype around the iPhone. Not that it won’t succeed – it will, but it will definitely take more time, and personally, if I had to bet on apps vs. mobile web, I would bet on the latter (late addition: see Giff Constable's post about the app store, especially the first few paragraphs). See my (future) mobile #3 post on technology and risk for more thoughts.



What Square is, and what it isn’t

Don’t get me wrong: the new Square gadget on the iPhone is cool. How cool? Way cool, not only because it’s a smart idea but also because they managed to pull it off in such short time. Kudos. It’s going to allow people who always planned to charge cards to start doing so – seemingly very comfortably and quickly; in developed countries, where credit card and smart phone penetration is high, Square has the potential to become a smashing hit. But among all the crazy positive coverage and superlatives it is getting, I’d like to keep a few things in proportion.